Tropical Storm Andrea, first of Atlantic hurricane season, forms
Tropical Storm Andrea, first of Atlantic hurricane season, forms
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Good morning everybody. Welcome back to another edition of Tropics Talk. Meteorologist Jim Dickey here with you. Now, as you look across the Atlantic by and large, it remains fairly quiet. Yes, there are *** few what we call tropical waves out there, those disturbances that move off of Africa. One about there, one there. We have some, uh, activity going, some thunderstorms into Central America, South America, but the only area out of all of this that the hurricane center has marked for potential development, you have to sort of squint to see it. It's way up here. Into the central Atlantic, it's this little swirl of thunderstorm activity that has been very consistent over the last couple of days. Now the hurricane center actually dropped the development chances with it overnight, but in *** special update they just put out at 8:30 a.m. this morning, they have upped those development chances once again. We're now back to *** 70% chance this is able to become *** short-lived tropical storm. Emphasis on short lived because conditions are about to go downhill for this to be able to truly come together as early as this evening. Now, regardless of development, this is no threat to land whatsoever. It's already about 700 miles off to the north and east of Bermuda and moving further out into the open Atlantic. As I switch over and look at the high resolution satellite presentation, it's an interesting looking little system. Looks to me like the broader circulation down here. Thunderstorms still being sheared away. You see this sort of area up here, an upper level low that's digging in to sort of vent this. Likely drop in the surface pressures *** little bit, but also pushing that thunderstorm activity away to the north and east. So we're talking another 6 to 12 hours tops for this to try to come together before it does get completely sheared apart. Along with that, the waters, the water temperatures only marginal where this is. So the center of the system is right about here. You see where the sea surface temperatures are 77, borderline, warm enough, we typically say. 78 is the threshold for waters being warm enough to support *** tropical system, but as this is tracking to the north and east, it's heading into some much cooler waters here, low 70s as it moves away from the Gulf Stream and then the temperatures drop off into the 60s into the North Atlantic. So could this become Andrea? We'll see what the hurricane center does with it regardless. All it will be is something that takes the first name off of the list. And you see where things go from there. Of course, *** whole lot more, uh, hurricane season ahead of us just because it's been *** slow start to the season doesn't really tell us anything about how the rest of the season will go. You know, in fact, speaking to that, I went back and ran the numbers. I looked at all the seasons going back to 1990 when no storms formed before July 1st. And here's how the numbers played out. When you average them out, 11 named storms, but 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes. So as far as hurricanes and major hurricanes go pretty closely in line with average, all you really do, and this sort of makes sense, you lose the early season storms, you lose the sort of numbers. Off the total for the year. So bottom line, we still likely have plenty of activity to go. The busiest part of the hurricane season ahead of us, and it does still look to be an active year going forward, of course, anything out there, we'll be tracking it for you here at Gulf Coast weather. Until next time, our meteorologist Jim Dickey. Have *** great day.
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Tropical Storm Andrea, first of Atlantic hurricane season, forms
Tropical Storm Andrea, the first tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, has formed, the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday.Andrea formed 1,205 miles west of the Azores, forecasters said. Maximum sustained winds were at 40 mph and the cyclone was traveling east-northeast at 17 mph.The tropical storm is expected to be short-lived. Andrea is forecast to weaken Tuesday night and dissipate by Wednesday night.
MIAMI —
Tropical Storm Andrea, the first tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, has formed, the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday.
Andrea formed 1,205 miles west of the Azores, forecasters said. Maximum sustained winds were at 40 mph and the cyclone was traveling east-northeast at 17 mph.
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The tropical storm is expected to be short-lived. Andrea is forecast to weaken Tuesday night and dissipate by Wednesday night.